Thursday, June 30, 2022
Bad Cop, No Donair
Tuesday, June 28, 2022
A Soft Landing?
In my last post, I wrote about the turbulence that it appears our heroes in Ottawa are heading into. There certainly seems to be a rough patch ahead that they are already on. But like other crises of a previous age, this too shall pass — even if it takes a little (or even a lot) longer than usual...
. . .
Some mixed polling is in for the Liberals, with the trends not looking particularly attractive, mostly due to Carville's law of economic anxiety. The crappy economy is a global problem, but as the saying goes, all politics is local, and Canadians are no different from citizens of any other country when it comes to landing an outrage punch at the incumbent whether they're responsible for the glum conditions or not.
That being said, the sage contrarian of Canadian politics (not yours truly) makes some very good arguments for why it's neither permanent nor catastrophic, not even in the present moment:
"They" being the Blue Meanies of the CPC, who current polling shows an illusory "lead" on the topline margins but a murky and inconclusive picture below the surface. Polls are never predictive, and campaigns do still matter, especially since there's no election for three years yet — and it's not a foregone conclusion in the least that the present conditions are still going to favour the Tinfoil Trucker Tories by 2025.
It's the economy, stupid — and when comes the time, the CPC might not even be able to run on that.
But what about a recession? Olive has that covered too, and says that Canada's position is such that it might very well be able to avoid the worst of the storm.
The problem is that just like with the "vaccine hangups," the party is going to be experiencing a lull for quite some time, perhaps longer than the all-but-forgotten nadir of when the Globe et. al. (and Jake Tapper) decided to disregard things like jurisdictional civics and supply chains and foolhardy actions of previous Conservative governments to lay the blame at the feet of no one else but Justin Trudeau. It could take at least (at least) a year to dig out of this. And of course, we don't know what else could crop up in the meantime. Did anyone have World War 3 on the bingo card, or monkeypox?
Of course, none of these factors has precluded the usual, useless suspects of the pundit class from offering their own unsolicited opinions or conclusions as to the trajectory of Justin Trudeau's career, or for that matter the next election (which are, obviously, intertwined). You've got Paul Wells advancing the "rudderless Liberals" narrative, and you've got John Ivison stooping so low as to excoriate the PM for being so "unprofessional" as to hurt a dictators feewings with a joke about riding shirtless on horseback. (Personally, I'm disappointed that Justin didn't actually ride shirtless on horseback.)
Funny how they focus almost exclusively on the PM and the Liberals instead of how their preferred party seems to be headed for a nasty divorce? Skippy is so bad that his crew has shoved Michelle Rempelthinskin into full-on in vino veritas mode spilling all the tea about the CPC and its junior league in Jason Kenney's Alberta. In fact, Skippy is so bad that he pissed off Harper's grandma. Ouch.
My advice, for what it's worth? Ignore the pundits, ignore the polls, and always read Scrimshaw.
The Conservatives don’t have compelling answers to the questions that will be the ballot questions in 2025 – Pierre Poilievre won’t be able to compellingly attack the Liberals on economic competence because of crypto, the economy will be better then than it is now, and Poilievre will have to contend with the fact that he has to grapple with two parties that hate each other under one tent.
The economy will be better than it is now. We're talking three years, an epochal eternity in politics, not this November when Joe Biden and the Democrats are likely to be faced with a pummeling, or even next year when poor Jacinda Ardern will probably struggle to convert her Julia Roberts smile and compassionate governance into a third term in office. We're talking the literal middle of the decade. Skippy will have picked up more baggage than an employee of Pearson Airport (on top of what he already has, plus the petabytes of material given to the Liberal war room by jailbirds Pat King and Tamara Lich).
Justin Trudeau will get to go out on the hustings, still a spring chicken at nearly 54 years of age, and talk about childcare, pharmacare and dental care. He'll also get to run on Roe and the Conservatives' unwillingess to shut the door on it. He'll get to run against a possibly resurgent Donald Trump or "Florida Man" Ron DeSantis. Skippy, meanwhile, will get to talk about crypto, camping, some Bluenoser (or brownnoser) cop who nobody cares about, and the no-longer-extant "JustinFlation™."
Chrystia Freeland, meanwhile, is already talking about the prospect of a "soft landing" for the currently embattled economy (and, not so subtly, for the government presently overseeing it). That's what the next election will be about (in addition to right-wing extremism next door), and not the doldrums of 2022.
It'll take awhile to rebound, perhaps the longest while ever for a "situation" that this government has faced, and perhaps the most challenging situation of Trudeau's entire tenure. But the economy will rebound, and with it, so will the Liberals' fortunes. For sure, the landing won't be the grace under pressure of Captain Sully on the Hudson. Just like the vaccines, and the gravel-thrower election, and the ad-hoc majority parliament, it'll be messy, but it'll get done.
It'll be more like Ted Striker.
Justin Trudeau, this is probably going to be the lousiest landing in the history of Pearson Airport. But some of us, particularly me, would like to buy you a drink and shake your hand.
Municipal bonds, Justin. The best investment in Canada. Surely it's better than being kicked in the head with an iron boot.
Wednesday, June 22, 2022
Stormy Ways, My Friends?
Every now and then I get a bad feeling that trouble is on the horizon for our man in Ottawa and his team of happy warriors. Lately I've been feeling more glum than usual. So are dark clouds really on the horizon for Dearest Justin or is this just a passing shower for now? Let's discuss, shall we?
. . .
CTV's resident malaka broke out his moneyball machine yet again to come up with reasons behind what his calculator is showing: bad news for the Liberals and a bump for the "leaderless" Cons. He argued that the Liberals seemed tired and nearing their "shelf life" and that if Canadians didn't stop feeling "grumpy" about the incumbents, the shadows could grow a lot longer as the time goes on.
I mean, OK, whatever, that's one data point from a wonky phone poll. But then the usual suspects of the full-court press started churning out their hot takes on why Trudeau fils est finis. And then the inflation report appeared, and someone hatched another manufactured nontroversy that boils down to a he-said, she-said Podunk PD cop drama, and...
Well, it's not out of the realm of understanding why any Liberal might feel down in the dumps.
But let's take this piece by piece, shall we? Even if it does ultimately amount to "hopium" on my part.
The economy is stupid
Bad Cop, Worse Cop?
Kudatah Trucks Klan
Mixed feelings
Friday, June 10, 2022
Living Next Door to an Elephant
By now, millions of people in the U.S. and abroad have watched the damning testimony of the January 6th Committee documenting the attempt at a "kudatah" by Donald Trump, his MAGA mob, and crooked cronies. Americans of course should be paying extra close attention, but so too should our neighbours north...
. . .
Since this blog mainly covers Canadian politics (albeit from the perspective of an American observer), I'll avoid going on at length about what was said and uncovered at the first night of hearings on the Capitol Hill Putsch. Suffice it to say it was as graphic and incriminating as one might have expected it to be, if not more so. But what concerns me more is the relative inattention to the same factors and personalities taking root in Canada too, since after all so many of us here in the States have often looked to Canada as the "northern star" of guidance (and a hoped-for sanctuary) when things "go south" down here. That sentiment in turn breeds a sense of "Canadian exceptionalism," one that unfortunately seems to have bred a sort of complacency among our neighbours above the 49th parallel. Canadians point to all that's gone wrong with America and breathe a sigh of relief that "well, at least we're not so bad."
Maybe not as overtly. But it's getting there — and two unfolding events that have made headlines in just the past week alone should raise all kinds of alarms. Indeed, for all those who say "it can't happen here," would it surprise you to find that maybe, just maybe, it already is?
Committee of the Assholes
The first item to pay attention to is the ongoing inquiry into the precedent-setting declaration of the Emergencies Act, in response to the Covidiot Convoy that seized Canada throughout the early spring. Unlike the January 6th Committee, which holds two heterodox Republicans — Reps. Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger — impugning their fellow GOP partisans for disgracing democracy in service to an abjectly terroristic disgraced president, there are no such honourable Conservatives in Canada willing to hold the likes of Pierre Poilievre, Andrew Scheer, and Candice Bergen to account. It has instead devolved into a cancerously partisan and unprofessional shitshow aimed at painting Justin Trudeau as a "dictator" who, in what likely qualifies as the most bizarre, shark-jumping leap of logic for a Western democracy since, well, "Stop the Steal," purportedly invoked the Act to quash "peaceful demonstrators" in a "bid to maintain power" that is not unlike Trump's attempted coup in and of itself.
Once again we see the Conservatives' DARVO narrative that Trudeau is "Bizarro Trump" being on full display. A truly credulous thought process for them of all people to take, considering the plurality of their own voters who adore Trump (but hate Trudeau) and even their own members (like the deputy-turned-interim party leader) enthusiastically going full MAGA complete with Trump swag.
The other problem with this committee is that Canada does not have a media landscape that even attempts to be "fair and balanced," unlike the United States where CNN, MSNBC, the Washington Post (they of Watergate I fame, now covering Watergate II: Proud Boys Boogaloo) and nearly all other "mainstream" outlets are invested in showcasing the utterly depraved sabotage of democracy committed by a president and party on the political right. (Fox News, not so much.)
In Canada, the media is overwhelmingly tilted in favour of the Tinfoil Trucker Tories, and now attempting to game the outcome for them by seizing upon semantic arguments that would seek to undermine or poke holes in the government's presentation before the committee. Like Postmedia's Matt Gurney and the ever-contrarian attention-seeker (and embittered Trudeau cousin) Andrew Coyne of the Globe & Mail, portraying public-safety minister Marco Mendocino as having been "dishonest" before Parliament when offering his explanation as to the catalyst and justification for the government implementing the Emergencies Act. At such a crucial time when the full sedition of their preferred party is about to be exposed, they jump right away to an insignificant matter of phraseology and start sounding the call for him to resign.
Unlike the Canadian media's other manufactured nontroversies, i.e. WE-Ghazi and the STFU-Lollygag Affair, the public is overwhelmingly on the side of the government's actions taken in this situation; in fact, they were more upset with the prime minister and his team for not sweeping away the chaff a lot sooner. It's really only the most ardent supporters of the seditious cons themselves demanding heads on a platter (literally) for what they already believed was "dictatorial overreach" by an "illegitimate" prime minister who was reelected in a "pointless campaign" and holds no claim to his title because he "lost the popular vote" and "formed an illegal coalition" with a smaller party in a hung parliament.
It's risible nonsense, of course. But that kind of rhetoric has consequences. Which brings me to issue number two that can't be ignored even as Canadians rightly express their horror at the events being recounted just to their south.
What would you do for a Klondike bar? According to two Conservative "fixers" turned whistleblowers, taking out a contract on Justin Trudeau is the request they just couldn't carry out.
Klondike Solidaire
This week, a bombshell series of accusations arrived in the form of the "Klondike Papers" — more than 6,500 documented interactions involving high-ranking backroom operatives and bagmen in the Canadian right-wing movement, courtesy of onetime party henchmen David Wallace and Nathan Jacobson. The massive, tangled web of corruption and stoking of fascist flames centres around the cryptic, arch-conservative religious organization and schmooze network known as the "Plymouth Brethren Church" and attorney Gerald Chipeur, who is deeply connected to major players such as disgraced Alberta premier Jason "Cartman" Kenney, the CPC's own godfather Stephen "Fat Cat" Harper... and none other than the party's incipient antichrist himself, Pierre "Constipated Stool Pigeon" Poilievre.
Thus far, the only media outlets that have reported on anything involving the Klondike Papers, let alone acknowledged their existence, have been the independent progressive outlet Press Progress, and the not-easily-categorized podcasts of bloggers Dean Blundell (The Dean Blundell Show)
and James DiFiore (Blackballed).
Sadly, intrepid investigative journalist Amy MacPherson of Free the Press Canada, died of cancer on March 27th of this year, her surgeries placed on the backburner by selfish covidiots clogging up the hospitals. The last story that she was working on before she passed involved this nexus of "Daddy" (?) Chipeur and hollow-eyed orphan Damien "The Omen" Poilievre. But others have thankfully picked up the torch to continue reporting on this important and far-reaching story that, just like the January 6th plot, participants in the "vast right-wing conspiracy" (as Hillary Clinton once said) are quick to label it a conspiracy theory itself. But that won't stop real, hardworking journalists and the layperson's samizdat from continuing to dig further.
On Blundell's website, you can read DiFiore's summary of the explosive revelations from Jacobson, described as a "political asset for former Prime Minister Stephen Harper" who also "counts Benjamin Netanyahu as a friend." Jacobson, a business mogul and former Mossad agent, and Wallace, a "fixer" for the Conservatives, assert that they were tasked with the unthinkable by a high-ranking member of the Plymouth Brethren Church: to "take out" Justin Trudeau "by any means necessary."
The whole story is an incredibly fascinating and horrifying tale of political intrigue, greasy money-handling, and religious evangelism, somewhere between Tom Clancy and Dan Brown — and yet all too real. It seems there is very much an active movement afoot to have Justin Trudeau be Canada's own JFK. Just like the Donald's calls to "hang Mike Pence," it certainly appears that Stephen Harper's I.D.U. inner circle are hell-bent on carrying out someone's wishes to "hang Justin Trudeau."
Now, one might think that something so astonishing involving the leader of a G7 country (especially one who is equally as much an internationally-renowned celebrity as he is statesman) would be front-page news all across said G7 country, right?
But this is Canada. The Peyton Place of the G7. Just like the "friendly sausage maker" who attacked Rideau Cottage and whose violent assault upon the prime minister's domicile was ignored; and the "hard-luck roughnecks" at the United We Roll dry-run event getting pep talks from the then-opposition leader, the current frontrunner to lead the second-largest party in Parliament, and a Nazi camgirl who received 25,000 votes for mayor of Canada's largest metropolis (a strong bronze-medal finish), were ignored; and the myriad other threats to, and now attempts on, the prime minister's life and that of his young family, including several being posted on the official social media pages of the Conservative Party itself, continue to be ignored... well, guess what: the #cdnmediafailed yet again, because other than the indie outfits, this, too, is being ignored.
The Road Not Taken
Now, I'm not sure what needs to be done to get this out there, or to break the disturbing and shameful omertà of the broken establishment-media cabal in Canada that functions like a dime-store equivalent to Fox News, but something needs to be done, because this is simply untenable. I'm not about to sit around and let another Oswald incident claim yet another progressive leader in his, well, prime. I can only do so much from my corner of the Internet. But I have a voice and I'm going to use it. I'm not sure who will read this blog entry, but if they do, I hope they'll use their voice too. That they'll "do their own research," and not in the way that the antivaxers and conspiracy theorists emboldened by the likes of Scheer and Poilievre and amplified on right-wing hate sites (like... the Conservative Party's official Facebook account) are wont to do.
Follow @KlondikePapers on Twitter (and the hashtag #KlondikePapers). Amplify independent progressive voices, and contact the legacy scribes to push them to "show some grit," as reporter Sean O'Shea encouraged his colleagues to do after he was given the bum's rush by Doug Ford and his bums. Tell the Star and CBC that you want to see an in-depth report on the Klondike Papers, the Plymouth Brethren Church, and the International Democrat Union, and all the connections to "mainstream" Conservatism in Canada and throughout the world. Tell them that as journalists you are calling on them to speak truth to power, the real power-brokers behind the scenes, and not just focus all their attention on one party. Appeal to their selfish nature if you must: tell them that this is the story that could make careers, that if they really aspire to be Canada's version of Woodward and Bernstein, there's a perfect opportunity — and it could save lives in the process.
To paraphrase from Liz Cheney, on the opening night of what could be this summer's biggest blockbuster (that doesn't have Tom Cruise in the cast): There will come a time when Justin Trudeau is gone. But for all those who choose not to do the right thing now, their dishonor will remain.
Don't settle for less, and don't think "it can't happen here."
Because it can, and if nothing is done to nip this movement in the bud, it will.
Can Trudeau beat Harper again?
About Me
- Jackie Blue
- Why, I know a fine fancy letter called FUDDLE. I use it in spelling Miss Fuddle-dee-Duddle. And, oh! What a bird-of-a-bird-of-a-bird-of! Her tail is the longest that’s ever been heard of.
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